https://unilib.phaidrabg.rs/o:5531 doi:10.18485/ecologica.2023.30.109.15 Ključne reči: klimatske promene, biljna proizvodnja, prihod od prodaje, profitabilnost. Keywords: climate change, crop production, sales revenue, profitability. srp Prodanović, Radivoj Bojat, Nenad Brkić, Ivana Đurić, Katarina Ivanišević, Dragan application/pdf 544733 bytes 2023 Efekti klimatskih promena na profitabilnost u biljnoj proizvodnji Effects of climate change on profitability in crop production Sažetak: Efekti klimatskih promena, kao što su ekstremne temperature, suše, poplave, oluje i dr., sve više zabrinjavaju poljoprivrednike. Cilj rada je saznati kako su se menjali nivoi prihoda i pokazatelji profitabilnosti u biljnoj proizvodnji, te kako se poljoprivredna gazdinstva prilagođavaju klimatskim promenama. Pregled literature bavi se klimatskim promenama i njihovim uzrocima, efektima i strategijama prilagođavanja, koje poljoprivrednicima stoje na raspolaganju. Empirijski deo se zasniva na kvantitativnoj komparativnoj analizi, za koju se koriste podaci dobijeni polustrukturiranim intervjuom sa dva slična poljoprivredna gazdinstva za period 2018-2022. Rezultati pokazuju da su prihodi od prodaje bili neujednačeni u posmatranom periodu, što je uzrokovano sušom i prekomernom vlagom. U 2019. god. bilo je mnogo sušnih perioda, pa su prinosi ozimih useva podbacili. U 2022. god. leto je bilo veoma suvo, pa su ostvareni veoma niski prinosi. Kalkulacija pokazuje da je profit ostvaren u svih pet godina i da je veoma promenljiva kategorija, a kretao se od 5 569 € do 183 662 na godišnjem nivou. Takođe, bilo je godina kada je promena prihoda od prodaje bila negativna u odnosu na prethodnu godinu. Važno bi bilo opredeliti adekvatnu strategiju prilagođavanja klimatskim promenama, kako bi se osigurao stabilan razvoj biljne proizvodnje. To uključuje osiguranje, preferenciju konvencionalnih praksi, ranu setvu, vreme setve, stvaranje zalihe semena, korištenje regulatora rasta, ozime useve i otpornije sorte, a što su poljoprivrednici delom i praktikovali. Abstract: The effects of climate change, such as extreme temperatures, droughts, floods, storms, etc., are increasingly worrying farmers. The aim of the work is to find out how income levels and profitability indicators in plant production have changed, and how agricultural farms are adapting to climate change. The literature review deals with climate change and its causes, effects and adaptation strategies available to farmers. The empirical part is based on a quantitative comparative analysis, for which data obtained through a semi-structured interview with two similar agricultural farms for the period 2018-2022 are used. The results show that sales revenues were uneven in the observed period, which was caused by drought and excessive humidity. In 2019, there were many dry periods, so winter crop yields failed. In 2022, the summer was very dry, so very low yields were achieved. The calculation shows that the profit made in all five years is a very variable category, ranging from €5,569 to €183,662 annually. Also, there were years when the change in sales revenue was negative compared to the previous year. It would be important to choose an adequate strategy for adapting to climate change, in order to ensure the stable development of crop production. These include insurance, preference for conventional practices, early sowing, timing of sowing, building up of seed stocks, use of growth regulators, winter crops and more resistant varieties, which farmers have partly practiced. Ecologica vol. 30 br. 109 str. 107-114 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode info:eu-repo/semantics/article